發表文章

目前顯示的是 4月, 2013的文章

Energy independence helps reduce Sino-US confrontation risk

圖片
In the Long Cycles in World Politics Theory proposed in 1987, American geopolitics scholar George Modelski indicated that a war for world leadership would break out every 100 years. China and America are today’s world leaders in terms of energy consumption, GDP, and influence. With “peaceful rising” as its current development strategy, China hopes to address issues like market, energy, and environment. The breakthrough last year in shale gas exploitation technology and the commercialization of fuel oil by direct coal liquidation have made it possible for China to become energy independent. This will provide material support for China’s “peaceful rising,” reduce the risk of energy conflicts between China and the US, and remove the inevitability of both countries being involved in a confrontation. China should cooperate with the US Modelski divided world leadership into four stages: (1) the “world war” stage, when new world leaders emerged; (2) the “indisputable